«[Президент США Дональд] Трамп теоретически мог бы уже завтра объявить о победе и заявить, что режиму нанесен серьезный ущерб, что серьезно пострадали ракетные силы, ядерная программа и военно-морской флот, и на этом закончить. Но тогда ради чего все это?» — отметил Блинкен.
From grappling at corners to VAR, the endless list of complaints reflects a wider sense of dislocation from ‘the product’
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OpenAI also tried to talk me off the ledge, pointing out that since it launched ChatGPT, a plethora of AI safety organizations have sprung up. And while the US hasn’t passed any federal regulations, the European Union is taking some steps to rein in AI. OpenAI, the company tells me, has more people working on safety than ever before. (It wouldn’t say, however, if the percentage of its now much larger workforce working on the issue has actually increased.) OpenAI’s chief strategy officer Jason Kwon also argues that my observation that AI safety isn’t as prominent as it was a few years ago might be illusory. “The reason safety may seem less front and center is that other issues have popped up,” he says. “There's only so much you can hold in your head at any particular time. The safety question was a dominant question back in ‘23 and it's still an important question. But people are now also thinking about labor impact, how to use AI for economic growth, and how to distribute AI internationally so everyone has access.”
The upper panel of Figure 6 shows raw trends in the unemployment rate since 2016 for workers in the top quartile of exposure and the unexposed group. During COVID, the less AI-exposed workers—who are more likely to have in-person jobs—saw a much larger increase in unemployment. Since then, the trends have been largely similar between the two groups. The lower panel measures the size of the gap between the most and least exposed workers in a difference-in-differences framework, mirroring the findings from the raw data. The average change in the gap since the release of ChatGPT is small and insignificant, suggesting that the unemployment rate of the more exposed group has increased slightly but the effect is indistinguishable from zero.8
老人姓李，童年是在宁夏西海固地区隆德县的一个小山村里度过的。这里的人在农闲之余喜好写一笔好看的毛笔字，吼几嗓子醇厚的秦腔，或者在逢年过节打腰鼓、扭秧歌。但这里也会因饥馑之年而连年贫困，一方水土养活不了一方人。贫穷的日子过得久了，人就总想改变。老人8岁的时候，他的长工父亲一咬牙说，咱们家穷了好几代人了，别人都夸你聪明，那我就送你去读书，看能从你这儿改变一下咱们家的命运不？