Negative net migration hasn’t definitively happened in the U.S. for almost a century, not since the Great Depression. The U.S. native-born population is also in free fall, well below the replacement rate needed to maintain population numbers in the long run. With fewer immigrant arrivals already dealing a blow to the workforce, the shrinkage of the American taxpayer base is set to further widen the country’s deficit and hurt its prospects for economic growth.
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In practice, this means:
Lawrence Yun, chief economist at the National Association of Realtors, estimated that with rates under 6%, roughly 5.5 million more households qualify for a mortgage than a year ago. He expects a share of them to actually enter the market this year.
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